Some facts which should be considered when doing this measurement and the associated uncertainty:

1. When Johannes did the measurement, there was no light from the AS port diverted to the OMC. This represents ~70% loss in the absolute amount of power available for this measurement. I estimate ~1W*Tprm * Ritm * Tbs * Rbs * Tsrm * OMCsplit ~ 300uW which should still be plenty, but the real parameter of interest is the difference in reflected power between locked/no cavity situations, and how that compares to the RMS of the scope readout. For comparison, the POX DC light level is expected to be ~20uW, assuming a 600ppm AR coating on the ITMs.
2. Even though the reflection from the arm not being measured may look like it's completely misaligned looking at the AS camera, the PDA520 which is used at the AS port has a large active area and so one must check on the oscilloscope that the other arm is truly misaligned and not hitting the photodiode to avoid interference effects artifically bloating the uncertainty.
3. The PDA255 monitoring the MC transmission has a tiny active area. I'm not sure the beam has been centered on it anytime recently. If the beam is not well centered on that PD, and you normalize the measurements by "MC Transmission", you're likely to end up with larger error.